KODA Project - Risk Management Plan

Comprehensive Risk Identification, Assessment & Mitigation Strategy

Version: 1.0
Date: October 31, 2025
Prepared By: Project Management Office
Status: Draft

Executive Summary

Risk Profile Overview

24
Total Risks Identified
6
Critical Risks
11
High Priority
7
Medium Priority

Risk Distribution by Category

Risk Category Critical High Medium Total
Technical Risks 2 4 1 7
Schedule Risks 1 2 1 4
Resource & Team 1 2 1 4
External Dependencies 1 1 1 3
Quality & Security 1 1 2 4
Business & Operations 0 1 1 2
TOTAL 6 11 7 24

Top 5 Critical Risks

  1. Multi-Tenancy Data Isolation Failure (R-T-001) - Complete data segregation breach
  2. AI Integration Complexity (R-T-002) - Google AI Studio API limitations
  3. Backend Lead Single Point of Failure (R-R-001) - No backup for critical expertise
  4. Third-Party API Failures (R-E-001) - WhatsApp Business API instability
  5. Security Vulnerability in Production (R-Q-001) - Data breach risk
  6. Aggressive Timeline (R-S-001) - Scope vs. deadline mismatch

Risk Management Methodology

Risk Management Process

  1. Risk Identification: Continuous throughout project lifecycle
  2. Risk Analysis: Qualitative assessment (Probability × Impact)
  3. Risk Response Planning: Mitigation, avoidance, transfer, acceptance
  4. Risk Monitoring: Weekly review in team meetings
  5. Risk Reporting: Monthly executive summary

Risk Probability Scale

Level Probability Score Description
Very Low 0-10% 1 Highly unlikely to occur
Low 11-30% 2 Unlikely but possible
Medium 31-50% 3 Moderate chance of occurrence
High 51-70% 4 Likely to occur
Very High 71-100% 5 Almost certain to occur

Risk Impact Scale

Level Schedule Impact Cost Impact Quality Impact Score
Very Low <1 week delay <2% budget Negligible 1
Low 1-2 weeks delay 2-5% budget Minor issues 2
Medium 2-4 weeks delay 5-10% budget Moderate defects 3
High 1-2 months delay 10-20% budget Major defects 4
Very High >2 months delay >20% budget Critical failure 5

Risk Priority Matrix

Risk Score = Probability × Impact

  • Critical (20-25): Immediate action required
  • High (12-16): Active mitigation needed
  • Medium (6-10): Monitor and plan mitigation
  • Low (3-5): Monitor only
  • Very Low (1-2): Accept risk

Risk Register Summary

All Identified Risks

ID Risk Title Category Probability Impact Score Priority
R-T-001 Multi-Tenancy Data Isolation Failure Technical Medium (3) Very High (5) 15 Critical
R-T-002 AI Integration Complexity Technical High (4) High (4) 16 Critical
R-T-003 Database Performance Issues Technical High (4) Medium (3) 12 High
R-T-004 Mobile App Platform Inconsistencies Technical High (4) Medium (3) 12 High
R-T-005 Payment Gateway Integration Issues Technical Medium (3) High (4) 12 High
R-T-006 Real-time Chat System Scalability Technical Medium (3) High (4) 12 High
R-T-007 Complex Booking Logic Bugs Technical Medium (3) Medium (3) 9 Medium
R-S-001 Aggressive Timeline Schedule Very High (5) High (4) 20 Critical
R-S-002 Phase 1 Mobile App Delay Schedule High (4) High (4) 16 High
R-S-003 Backend API Delays Schedule High (4) High (4) 16 High
R-S-004 Testing Phase Compression Schedule Medium (3) Medium (3) 9 Medium
R-R-001 Backend Lead Single Point of Failure Resource Medium (3) Very High (5) 15 Critical
R-R-002 Team Member Turnover Resource Medium (3) High (4) 12 High
R-R-003 Flutter Developer Availability Resource Medium (3) High (4) 12 High
R-R-004 Part-time DevOps Insufficient Resource Low (2) Medium (3) 6 Medium
R-E-001 Third-Party API Failures External High (4) High (4) 16 Critical
R-E-002 Google AI Studio Rate Limits External High (4) Medium (3) 12 High
R-E-003 Payment Gateway Approval Delays External Medium (3) Medium (3) 9 Medium
R-Q-001 Security Vulnerability in Production Security Medium (3) Very High (5) 15 Critical
R-Q-002 Insufficient Testing Coverage Quality High (4) High (4) 16 High
R-Q-003 GDPR Compliance Issues Compliance Low (2) High (4) 8 Medium
R-Q-004 Performance Not Meeting SLAs Quality Medium (3) Medium (3) 9 Medium
R-B-001 Scope Creep Business High (4) High (4) 16 High
R-B-002 Budget Overrun Financial Medium (3) Medium (3) 9 Medium

Technical Risks (Detailed)

Critical R-T-001: Multi-Tenancy Data Isolation Failure

Description Data from one salon/spa leaks to another due to inadequate tenant isolation in database queries
Probability Medium (3) - 40%
Impact Very High (5) - Complete data breach, legal liability, platform shutdown
Risk Score 15 (Critical)
Triggers • Missing WHERE tenant_id clauses in queries
• Shared sessions across tenants
• Cache key collisions
• API endpoint not filtering by tenant
Mitigation Strategy PREVENT:
• Mandatory database middleware enforcing tenant_id filter
• Global query scopes in ORM (Laravel/Eloquent)
• Database row-level security (RLS) policies
• Separate database schemas per tenant (if feasible)
• Code review checklist for all queries

DETECT:
• Automated tests for cross-tenant data access
• Penetration testing focused on multi-tenancy
• Database query logging and monitoring
• Security audit before each phase launch
Contingency Plan • Immediate platform shutdown if breach detected
• Data forensics to identify affected tenants
• Notify affected customers within 72 hours (GDPR)
• Implement emergency patch
• Full security re-audit before resuming operations
Owner Backend Lead + Project Manager
Review Frequency Weekly

Critical R-T-002: AI Integration Complexity (Google AI Studio)

Description Google AI Studio API may not support required Arabic NLP capabilities or has usage limits
Probability High (4) - 60%
Impact High (4) - Phase 3 features delayed or downgraded
Risk Score 16 (Critical)
Triggers • Poor Arabic sentiment analysis accuracy
• Rate limiting preventing real-time responses
• Unexpected API costs
• Model training requirements not documented
Mitigation Strategy Early Prototyping (Month 5):
• Build proof-of-concept before Phase 3 starts
• Test Arabic text analysis with sample data
• Measure API response times and accuracy
• Document rate limits and costs

Fallback Options:
• OpenAI GPT-4 API (more expensive but proven)
• Azure OpenAI Service (enterprise support)
• Rule-based sentiment analysis (simpler, limited)
• Delay Phase 3 AI features to post-launch
Contingency Plan If Google AI Studio inadequate:
• Switch to OpenAI GPT-4 (add ~1,000 JOD/year cost)
• Descope AI features to "nice-to-have"
• Launch Phase 3 without AI, add later as enhancement
Owner Backend Lead
Review Frequency Weekly in Phase 3, Monthly before

Additional Technical Risks (Summary)

R-T-003: Database Performance Issues (Score: 12 - High)

  • Risk: Complex queries for booking conflicts, calendar availability slow at scale
  • Mitigation: Database indexing strategy, query optimization, Redis caching, read replicas
  • Owner: Backend Lead

R-T-004: Mobile App Platform Inconsistencies (Score: 12 - High)

  • Risk: Flutter widgets behave differently on iOS vs Android, especially camera/calendar
  • Mitigation: Early testing on both platforms, platform-specific code where needed, Flutter community forums
  • Owner: Flutter Developer

R-T-005: Payment Gateway Integration Issues (Score: 12 - High)

  • Risk: Local Jordanian payment gateways may have poor documentation or unstable APIs
  • Mitigation: Select well-documented gateway, build payment abstraction layer, implement retry logic
  • Owner: Backend Developer

R-T-006: Real-time Chat System Scalability (Score: 12 - High)

  • Risk: Socket.io connections don't scale to 1000+ concurrent users
  • Mitigation: Use Redis adapter for Socket.io, horizontal scaling with load balancer
  • Owner: Backend Lead

R-T-007: Complex Booking Logic Bugs (Score: 9 - Medium)

  • Risk: Edge cases in booking rules (e.g., double-booking, cancellation windows)
  • Mitigation: Unit tests for all booking scenarios, manual QA testing, staged rollout
  • Owner: Backend Developer + QA

Schedule Risks (Detailed)

Critical R-S-001: Aggressive Timeline

Description 8.4 months to build 3 full applications + backend + AI is extremely ambitious
Probability Very High (5) - 80%
Impact High (4) - Delayed launch, rushed code, quality issues
Risk Score 20 (Critical)
Root Causes • Scope includes 3 separate apps (Mobile, Team, CORE)
• Multi-tenancy adds significant complexity
• AI integration requires experimentation
• No buffer for unexpected issues
• Fixed deadline vs. feature-rich scope
Mitigation Strategy Prioritization (Must/Should/Could):
MUST: Phase 1 core booking + Mobile App
SHOULD: Phase 2 loyalty + Team App
COULD: Phase 3 AI + advanced CRM

Phased Launch:
• Launch Phase 1 first (MVP) on schedule
• Phase 2 & 3 can slip without breaking commitment

Scope Reduction Options:
• Defer Team App to post-launch
• Simplify KODA CORE to essential features only
• Remove AI features from initial launch
• Cut social media integrations
Contingency Plan If 4+ weeks behind schedule:
• Emergency scope review with Executive Sponsor
• Formally descope Phase 3 AI features
• Add 1 month to timeline (cost: ~9,400 JOD)
• OR Accept delayed Phase 2/3 launch
Owner Project Manager
Review Frequency Weekly

Additional Schedule Risks (Summary)

R-S-002: Phase 1 Mobile App Delay (Score: 16 - High)

  • Risk: Flutter developer encounters platform-specific issues
  • Mitigation: Start Mobile App early in parallel with backend, add buffer week, identify backup Flutter developer

R-S-003: Backend API Delays (Score: 16 - High)

  • Risk: Backend Lead overloaded with complex multi-tenancy + integrations
  • Mitigation: Backend Developer takes more tickets, Frontend starts with mock APIs

R-S-004: Testing Phase Compression (Score: 9 - Medium)

  • Risk: If development runs late, QA testing gets squeezed
  • Mitigation: Shift-left testing (QA involved early), automated testing, accept minor bugs for Phase 1

Resource & Team Risks (Detailed)

Critical R-R-001: Backend Lead Single Point of Failure

Description Backend Lead is sole expert on multi-tenancy architecture and AI integration
Probability Medium (3) - 40%
Impact Very High (5) - Project could halt if Backend Lead leaves or falls ill
Risk Score 15 (Critical)
Triggers • Backend Lead resignation or long-term illness
• Family emergency requiring extended leave
• Burnout from overwork
• Better job offer from competitor
Mitigation Strategy Knowledge Transfer:
• Backend Lead documents architecture decisions weekly
• Backend Developer shadows complex implementations
• Code reviews mandatory for all Backend Lead work
• Monthly architecture review sessions

Backup Resources:
• Identify external senior backend consultant (on standby)
• Backend Developer trained as backup
• Maintain good relationship with Backend Lead (retention)

Retention:
• Ensure competitive compensation
• Recognize contributions publicly
• Avoid excessive overtime
• Career development discussions
Contingency Plan If Backend Lead leaves:
• Immediately engage external consultant (cost: ~3,000 JOD/month)
• Promote Backend Developer to lead (with pay increase)
• Extend timeline by 4-6 weeks
• Descope Phase 3 AI features if necessary
Owner Project Manager + HR
Review Frequency Monthly

Additional Resource Risks (Summary)

R-R-002: Team Member Turnover (Score: 12 - High)

  • Risk: Any developer leaving mid-project causes knowledge loss and delays
  • Mitigation: Competitive pay, good work environment, knowledge sharing culture, backup developers identified

R-R-003: Flutter Developer Availability (Score: 12 - High)

  • Risk: Flutter developer only needed 5.7 months, may take other work and become unavailable
  • Mitigation: Contract with clear availability requirements, retain through Phase 1 with reduced hours, identify backup Flutter developer

R-R-004: Part-time DevOps Insufficient (Score: 6 - Medium)

  • Risk: Infrastructure issues arise outside DevOps engineer's 6 hours/week
  • Mitigation: DevOps engineer on-call for emergencies, Backend Lead has basic DevOps skills, automate common tasks

External Dependencies & Third-Party Risks (Detailed)

Critical R-E-001: Third-Party API Failures

Description WhatsApp Business API, payment gateway, or SMS service experiences downtime or instability
Probability High (4) - 60%
Impact High (4) - Core features unavailable, customer dissatisfaction
Risk Score 16 (Critical)
Key Dependencies • WhatsApp Business API (notifications)
• Payment Gateway (bookings)
• SMS Gateway (OTP, reminders)
• Email Service (Mailgun/SendGrid)
• Google AI Studio (Phase 3)
Mitigation Strategy Resilient Design:
• Retry logic with exponential backoff
• Circuit breaker pattern (fail fast)
• Queue failed requests for retry
• Graceful degradation (fallback to email if WhatsApp down)

Redundancy:
• Primary + backup SMS gateway
• Email as fallback for all notifications
• Cache payment gateway health status

Monitoring:
• Health checks for all external APIs
• Alert on >5% API error rate
• Dashboard showing API uptime
Contingency Plan • Maintain list of alternative providers
• Abstract API integrations (easy to swap)
• Communication plan for customers during outages
Owner Backend Lead + DevOps
Review Frequency Weekly

Additional External Risks (Summary)

R-E-002: Google AI Studio Rate Limits (Score: 12 - High)

  • Risk: AI requests exceed free tier limits, causing unexpected costs or throttling
  • Mitigation: Aggressive caching of AI responses, rate limiting user requests, budget monitoring

R-E-003: Payment Gateway Approval Delays (Score: 9 - Medium)

  • Risk: Payment gateway merchant account approval takes 2-4 weeks
  • Mitigation: Apply for merchant account in Month 1, use test/sandbox mode for development

Quality & Security Risks (Detailed)

Critical R-Q-001: Security Vulnerability in Production

Description Critical security flaw discovered after launch (SQL injection, XSS, authentication bypass)
Probability Medium (3) - 40%
Impact Very High (5) - Data breach, legal liability, reputation damage
Risk Score 15 (Critical)
Common Vulnerabilities • SQL injection (database queries)
• Cross-Site Scripting (XSS)
• Insecure authentication
• Sensitive data exposure
• Broken access control
• CSRF attacks
Mitigation Strategy Secure Development Practices:
• Use ORM (Eloquent) to prevent SQL injection
• Input validation on all user inputs
• Output encoding to prevent XSS
• JWT tokens with short expiration
• HTTPS everywhere, HSTS headers
• Rate limiting on authentication endpoints

Security Testing:
• OWASP Top 10 checklist
• Penetration testing before each phase launch
• Automated security scanning (Snyk, OWASP ZAP)
• Code review focused on security

Compliance:
• GDPR data protection requirements
• Secure password hashing (bcrypt)
• Audit logs for sensitive actions
Contingency Plan If vulnerability discovered:
• Emergency patch within 24 hours
• Notify affected users
• Forensic analysis to determine scope
• Full security audit post-incident
Owner Backend Lead + QA Engineer
Review Frequency Weekly security checks, penetration test before each phase

Additional Quality & Compliance Risks (Summary)

R-Q-002: Insufficient Testing Coverage (Score: 16 - High)

  • Risk: Aggressive timeline forces reduced QA testing, bugs slip to production
  • Mitigation: Automated unit/integration tests, QA involved early, accept minor bugs for MVP

R-Q-003: GDPR Compliance Issues (Score: 8 - Medium)

  • Risk: Missing data protection requirements (right to deletion, data portability)
  • Mitigation: GDPR checklist review, privacy policy drafted, data retention policies defined

R-Q-004: Performance Not Meeting SLAs (Score: 9 - Medium)

  • Risk: API response times >500ms, app sluggish under load
  • Mitigation: Load testing in Month 6, database optimization, CDN for static assets

Business & Operational Risks (Detailed)

High R-B-001: Scope Creep

Description Stakeholders request new features mid-project, expanding scope beyond 27 screens
Probability High (4) - 60%
Impact High (4) - Budget overrun, schedule delays, team burnout
Risk Score 16 (High)
Common Triggers • "Just one more small feature"
• Competitor analysis showing new features
• Sales team promises to customers
• User feedback during beta testing
• Executive requests
Mitigation Strategy Formal Change Control:
• All scope changes go through Change Request process
• Change Request must include cost/schedule impact
• Approval required from Executive Sponsor
• Change log maintained

Backlog Management:
• New requests added to "Post-Launch" backlog
• Clear definition of "in scope" vs "future enhancement"
• Product Owner protects team from ad-hoc requests

Stakeholder Communication:
• Monthly demos showing progress
• Set expectations early: MVP first, enhancements later
• Highlight trade-offs (new feature = delayed launch)
Contingency Plan If scope creep occurs:
• Formally document impact on budget/schedule
• Require Executive Sponsor to approve delay or budget increase
• Push back on non-critical features
Owner Project Manager + Product Owner
Review Frequency Weekly

R-B-002: Budget Overrun (Score: 9 - Medium)

  • Risk: Project exceeds 81,555 JOD budget due to delays or scope changes
  • Mitigation: Weekly cost tracking, 10% contingency reserve, monthly budget reviews, scope reduction if needed
  • Owner: Project Manager + Finance

Risk Monitoring & Control

Risk Review Schedule

Frequency Activity Participants Deliverable
Daily Monitor critical risks (R-T-001, R-S-001, R-R-001) Project Manager Risk dashboard updated
Weekly Team risk review in sprint retrospective Full Team Risk register updated
Monthly Executive risk report PM + Executive Sponsor Risk report document
Phase End Risk review & lessons learned Full Team + Stakeholders Updated risk register

Risk Reporting

Weekly Risk Status

  • Update risk scores based on current status
  • Flag new risks identified
  • Report mitigation progress
  • Escalate critical risks to Executive Sponsor

Monthly Executive Summary

  • Top 5 risks and mitigation status
  • Risks closed since last month
  • New risks identified
  • Risk trend analysis (improving/worsening)
  • Budget impact of realized risks

Risk Escalation Criteria

Escalate to Executive Sponsor if:

  • Any risk score reaches 20+ (Critical)
  • Multiple High risks (12+) occur simultaneously
  • Mitigation requires >5,000 JOD budget increase
  • Schedule delay >4 weeks likely
  • Security breach or data loss occurs

Risk Response Strategies

Strategy When to Use Example
Avoid Eliminate the risk entirely Remove AI features to avoid Google AI Studio risk
Mitigate Reduce probability or impact Code reviews to reduce data isolation failures
Transfer Shift risk to third party Use managed cloud services (AWS handles infrastructure)
Accept Acknowledge risk, no action Accept minor UI inconsistencies for MVP